Sunday, 23 April 2017

Why? Why? Why? Theresa.

There we all were, just a week ago, enjoying a Sunday with our political world on a nice even keel. Mrs May was set for two years until whatever type of Brexit she chose became a reality and after that had a year till the 2020 General Election to tidy up loose ends and get going on the 2020 -2025 agenda freed of the distractions of the EU carryon..Her overall majority of 17 was tight enough to keep most of the recalcitrants or other trouble makers in line. She was doing well. The Scottish lady was being kept in her place , effectively being asked "What is there about the word NO that you don't understand?" and the Remain rearguard beginning to understand that they were moaning about a lost cause because although the lady is up for turning on some things,-like calling early elections, - she isn't on Brexit. She's had a good run so far, refusing to feed the media's Blair and Cameron induced expectation of 24/7 thoughts on everything and feeling everybody's pain about every upset. She's been her own person and expunged much of the dreary legacy of the very male and very Eton and Oxford chumocracy, the appalling Cameron resignation "honours" and the politically toxic flavours that stuck in people's minds and gullets..

So why did she throw it all up in the air and risk everything in a seven week campaign which will be nasty, full of twists and turns and wraps two entirely separate issues ,- Brexit and Schools and Hospitals etc,- into just one vote? The simple answer must simply be that she reckons she can win and win big ,and in doing so get two more years to give her the potentially calmer years of 2021 and 2022 when , freed of the EU, the government can power ahead on open trade deals and dealing with the big domestic issues.

What now then? The polls point to a big Tory majority. Disregard them . The two questions, one answer formula could produce big surprises. There are are still seven (ghastly) weeks to go. Anything could happen, If the LibDems regain a clutch of the seats they lost in 2015 the Tories have to take as many from Labour,mainly "Up north". Maybe they did as well as they ever can there last time? If so the 17 overall majority could shrink to an overall minority. That could result in a Corbyn led coalition with someone,- anyone ,- but most likely the LibDems whatever Farron is saying now. The reality would be a Marxist inner core,including Unite's McClusky, and the most left wing government the UK or maybe the whole of Europe has ever seen. Corbyn has already said that he is looking for an entirely different sort of Britain. Listen to him very carefully. The one he has in mind won't be the one many,including middle class idealists who always get done over in a revolution, imagine they would get.The far left, very much in love with themselves, loathe the vast bulk of the electorate. They are also politically far more organised and clever than any other group.

Regardless of the issues fought over ad nauseam on our screens and in our newspapers or via Twitter,,Mumsnet, Teensnet or whatever else there is out there,the choice on 8th June will be brutally simple. A truly far left Marxist designed and led government under Corbyn or a right of centre Conservative one under Mrs May. Forget any tactical voting. That's how it is.